SCENARIO 3
Eco-harmony society
The green growth pathway: A world in which society thrives in symbiosis with nature.
People, businesses and institutions collectively acknowledge the climate crisis and react with urgency. International collaboration and action pave the way towards a prosperous, regenerated world where both society and the economy prosper. Sustainable practices are the norm, and technological innovations support environmental health. Social equity is prioritised, with shared environmental goals reducing inequalities. The principles of diversity and inclusion now apply to every type of living being, with ecosystems, plants and animals having the same rights as humans. A culture of optimism and inclusion thrives, where every aspect of life aligns with the principles of circularity, creating a prosperous and hopeful global community.
SCENARIO 3
Temperature increase: +1.76°C
Population: 8.53bn
GDP per capita:
$34,148
SCENARIO 4
Temperature increase: +1.97°C
Population: 9.17bn
GDP per capita:
$25,175
SCENARIO 4
Pleasure first, planet second
The middle-of-the-road pathway: A world where sustainable practices and the health of the planet are disregarded in favour of human comfort.
For a world in permacrisis, climate change is just another problem. Despite growing awareness of the climate crisis, the pursuit of personal comfort and convenience prevails, leading to inadequate environmental action. Global cooperation is ineffective, action on sustainability is delayed, and progress - on green goals, and on the inequalities of society and the economy - is too slow. Major cities face rising temperatures and sea levels, while technological advancements fail to offset the ongoing environmental deterioration. In this context, revenge shopping and the constant quest for pleasure is helping people to compensate.
